Otrant Ulcinj vs FK Bokelj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
48.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
10º
7º
47
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 32.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KOM
1 - 2
OUL
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 2
MLJ
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
OUL
2 - 1
ZET
24%
26%
50%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GRB
1 - 0
OUL
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
IGA
1 - 1
OUL
54%
25%
21%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FK Bokelj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
KOM
0 - 0
BOK
43%
28%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BOK
3 - 0
IGA
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MLJ
1 - 1
BOK
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BOK
0 - 1
BER
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZET
0 - 0
BOK
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |