Otrant Ulcinj vs FK Berane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
10º
7º
48
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 47% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 48% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FKM
3 - 0
OUL
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BOK
4 - 0
OUL
72%
19%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 3
KOM
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MLJ
5 - 0
OUL
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ZET
2 - 0
OUL
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FK Berane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BER
1 - 0
KOM
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MLJ
0 - 3
BER
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
BER
2 - 0
ZET
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GRB
0 - 2
BER
33%
25%
41%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 2
BER
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |