FK Omarska vs Velež Nevesinje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
14º
18º
18º
45
4º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
44 | 44 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
43 | 43 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
39 | 39 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Omarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PRN
1 - 2
FKO
58%
19%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FKO
2 - 2
RAD
19%
24%
57%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ZEL
4 - 0
FKO
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FKO
1 - 3
SUT
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
FKO
1 - 2
SLO
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Velež Nevesinje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FVN
3 - 1
FVO
21%
20%
60%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
BSK
2 - 0
FVN
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FVN
2 - 5
LAK
13%
19%
68%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LEO
2 - 1
FVN
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
FVN
1 - 0
DRI
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +2 |