FK Omarska vs FK Modrica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
14º
18º
18º
39
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
44 | 44 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
43 | 43 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
39 | 39 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Omarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SLA
2 - 1
FKO
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FKO
2 - 1
RUD
21%
25%
55%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ROP
4 - 2
FKO
61%
21%
19%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FKO
2 - 3
FVN
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PRN
1 - 2
FKO
58%
19%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FK Modrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
MOD
1 - 3
FVO
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
BSK
1 - 2
MOD
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
MOD
0 - 2
LAK
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
5 - 3
MOD
74%
18%
8%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MOD
1 - 0
DRI
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |