FK Novosibirsk vs Tyumen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
6º
5º
60
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 5 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 5 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
MIA
1 - 1
FCN
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 1
FCN
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 1
PER
18%
26%
57%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
IRT
1 - 0
FCN
52%
24%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 0
FCN
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Tyumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
TYU
7 - 0
FCC
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PER
0 - 2
TYU
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TYU
2 - 2
IRT
64%
21%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TYU
1 - 1
MIA
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PER
0 - 2
TYU
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |