FK Novosibirsk vs Orenburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
10º
5º
23
2º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
FCN
65%
23%
12%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FKK
2 - 3
FCN
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCN
2 - 1
URA
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NOS
0 - 0
FCN
14%
18%
68%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
FDV
1 - 1
FCN
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Orenburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 0
FKK
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MIA
1 - 2
ORE
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ORE
3 - 1
ZEN
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PER
3 - 3
ORE
79%
17%
4%
|
27 | 69 | 42 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TYU
1 - 0
ORE
89%
9%
2%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | 0 |