FK Novosibirsk vs Lada Tolyatti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.3%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.5%
2.4%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MIA
1 - 1
FCN
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
FST
0 - 1
FCN
25%
24%
52%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
FCN
1 - 2
FCC
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
FCN
1 - 3
URA
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
TYU
0 - 3
FCN
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Lada Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LAD
2 - 2
NOS
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
PER
6 - 0
LAD
80%
16%
4%
|
20 | 78 | 58 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LAD
2 - 1
ZEN
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
FST
7 - 2
LAD
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
LAD
0 - 4
VOL
10%
19%
71%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | 0 |