FK Novosibirsk vs Khimik-Avgust analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
10º
5º
20
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 1
PER
18%
26%
56%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ORE
1 - 1
FCN
19%
23%
58%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 1
ORE
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
FCN
65%
23%
12%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FKK
2 - 3
FCN
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Khimik-Avgust
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FKK
1 - 2
ORE
68%
17%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FKK
1 - 0
ZEN
53%
20%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ZEN
2 - 0
FKK
38%
22%
41%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 0
FKK
27%
21%
52%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FKK
2 - 3
FCN
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |