FK Novosibirsk vs Amkar Perm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
55.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
10º
5º
42
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ORE
1 - 1
FCN
19%
23%
58%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 1
ORE
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
FCN
65%
23%
12%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FKK
2 - 3
FCN
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCN
2 - 1
URA
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Amkar Perm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NOS
1 - 2
PER
5%
18%
77%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
NOS
79%
16%
5%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
FCN
65%
23%
12%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ZEN
1 - 1
PER
6%
19%
75%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 3
PER
14%
25%
61%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |