RFK Novi Sad vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
38.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RFK Novi Sad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
BZR
1 - 1
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
3 - 2
SRE
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ZEM
0 - 0
NOV
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 0
KOL
53%
27%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 1
BAS
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
NAP
0 - 1
BAS
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BEA
1 - 1
NAP
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NAP
0 - 2
RAD
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
RSO
1 - 1
NAP
29%
29%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
NAP
0 - 0
NPA
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |