FK Nizhny Novgorod II vs Lada Tolyatti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
61.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+134%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
14º
14º
29
6º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Nizhny Novgorod II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 1
NOV
72%
16%
13%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 4
FKA
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
URA
4 - 0
NOV
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 5
DIN
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RKZ
4 - 0
NOV
56%
20%
23%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lada Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LAD
1 - 0
DIN
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NOS
2 - 0
LAD
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LAD
2 - 1
KAZ
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VNO
1 - 2
LAD
62%
18%
20%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UNT
2 - 0
LAD
68%
16%
15%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |