Niva Chausy vs FC Gorki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
81.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
15º
11º
48
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 35 |
4º
|
91.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 34 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
83.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 19 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 10 |
17º
|
97% | |
|
17º
|
8 | 8 |
18º
|
97% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 1 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niva Chausy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FKS
10 - 1
NCH
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NCH
4 - 0
FKK
47%
21%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 1
NCH
85%
10%
6%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NCH
3 - 1
FKS
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FKV
0 - 0
NCH
11%
15%
74%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gorki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCG
3 - 0
FKB
93%
5%
2%
|
48 | 8 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
2 - 5
FCG
7%
13%
80%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FCG
5 - 0
KRI
92%
6%
2%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCG
0 - 2
FKS
59%
21%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 4
FCG
6%
13%
81%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |