Neftçi vs Turan-T analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
2º
4º
3º
39
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
FKN
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FKN
3 - 0
SEB
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
FKQ
0 - 0
FKN
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
SUM
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 0
ZIR
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Turan-T
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 2
ZIR
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SFK
0 - 2
TUR
71%
18%
10%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
FCK
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
TUR
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
SUM
2 - 1
TUR
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |