Neftçi vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
8º
5º
57
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FKQ
0 - 2
FKN
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FKN
0 - 1
SFK
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SEB
2 - 4
FKN
31%
28%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FKN
0 - 2
QAR
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 1
FKN
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SUM
2 - 0
ARA
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SUM
0 - 0
FKQ
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 0
SFK
26%
27%
48%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SFK
3 - 1
SUM
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 0
FCK
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |