Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Neftçi vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
SFK
0 - 2
FKN
17%
28%
56%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SEB
0 - 0
FKN
14%
23%
62%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
FKN
4 - 1
FKQ
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SHA
2 - 1
FKN
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
FKN
0 - 0
QAR
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
SUM
1 - 1
FKQ
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
SUM
2 - 0
ZAQ
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
SHA
2 - 1
SUM
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
SUM
2 - 1
QAR
22%
26%
53%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SFK
1 - 3
SUM
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |