Neftçi vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
FKN
0 - 1
FCR
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FKQ
2 - 1
FKN
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
FKN
2 - 1
SIM
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
REV
2 - 0
FKN
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
FCR
1 - 0
FKN
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SUM
0 - 0
SHA
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
SUM
1 - 1
KHA
22%
26%
52%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
FCK
0 - 0
SUM
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SUM
0 - 1
REV
35%
27%
37%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
SIM
1 - 0
SUM
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |