Neftçi vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
REV
0 - 1
FKN
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
FKN
0 - 0
DZG
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
DZG
3 - 0
FKN
73%
17%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
FKN
1 - 1
KHA
44%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
QAR
3 - 0
FKN
45%
29%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SUM
1 - 2
FKQ
24%
30%
46%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
KHA
2 - 1
SUM
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 3
SUM
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SUM
0 - 0
BAK
40%
26%
33%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ABS
2 - 1
SUM
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |