Neftçi vs Sabah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
8º
5º
58
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SEB
2 - 4
FKN
31%
28%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FKN
0 - 2
QAR
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 1
FKN
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ZIR
1 - 1
FKN
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
FKN
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sabah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 0
SFK
26%
27%
48%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SFK
3 - 1
SUM
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SFK
1 - 1
ARA
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SEB
2 - 2
SFK
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SFK
2 - 2
FCK
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |