Neftçi vs Sabah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
2º
4º
3º
81
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 2
FKN
9%
22%
69%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FKN
0 - 0
TUR
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 1
FKN
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 2
FKN
20%
26%
54%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 2
FKN
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sabah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SFK
1 - 0
ZIR
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SFK
5 - 0
FCK
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 1
SFK
22%
27%
51%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SFK
3 - 1
TUR
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
QAR
4 - 3
SFK
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |