Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-8
Neftçi vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
37%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FKQ
0 - 1
FKN
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
FKN
3 - 0
SEB
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 3
FKN
27%
28%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FKN
1 - 4
QAR
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 1
FKN
44%
26%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 6
QAR
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 3
QAR
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 2
QAR
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 95 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
QAR
3 - 1
ZIR
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
QAR
2 - 2
LEV
7%
15%
78%
|
72 | 95 | 23 | -1 |