Neftçi vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
HER
4 - 0
FKN
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
S04
1 - 0
FKN
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
FKN
1 - 0
ZIR
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
FKN
0 - 2
FCK
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FKN
1 - 2
QAR
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
SHF
1 - 2
QAR
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
QAR
0 - 0
SHF
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 1
QAR
44%
24%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
QAR
5 - 0
SAM
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
BIF
5 - 1
QAR
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |