UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Neftçi vs Nitra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2008 |
FKN
3 - 0
BAR
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
FKQ
0 - 0
FKN
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
FKN
0 - 1
KHA
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
KAR
0 - 1
FKN
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
SSU
1 - 1
FKN
44%
28%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nitra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
NIT
3 - 0
TRE
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
KOS
1 - 2
NIT
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2008 |
NIT
1 - 0
RUZ
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
SBR
3 - 2
NIT
49%
26%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
NIT
0 - 3
PET
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |