Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 0-1
Neftçi vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2000 |
GOR
3 - 1
FKN
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2000 |
FKN
1 - 0
GOR
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1999 |
CRV
1 - 0
FKN
69%
17%
13%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
FKN
2 - 3
CRV
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
WLO
8 - 0
FKN
76%
14%
10%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
FCK
2 - 0
GOR
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
GOR
1 - 3
CEL
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
KOR
3 - 1
GOR
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
FCK
3 - 2
GOR
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
GOR
0 - 1
NKO
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |