Neftçi vs FK Qaradag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
FKN
0 - 0
FKQ
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
KHA
2 - 2
FKN
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
SIM
1 - 0
FKN
35%
29%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FKN
4 - 0
AZA
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
FKB
1 - 3
FKN
45%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Qaradag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
GEY
0 - 3
FKQ
14%
23%
63%
|
60 | 21 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FKQ
2 - 3
FKN
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
MOI
0 - 3
FKQ
19%
25%
57%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
FKQ
1 - 0
LBI
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
ZIR
1 - 1
FKQ
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |