Neftçi vs FK Baku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
AZA
0 - 1
FKN
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FKN
0 - 2
SHA
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
FKN
0 - 0
AZA
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SUM
0 - 1
FKN
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
AZA
0 - 1
FKN
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FK Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
FKB
0 - 3
SIM
35%
29%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
FKB
1 - 4
QAR
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AZA
2 - 0
FKB
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
QAR
3 - 0
FKB
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
KHA
2 - 1
FKB
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |