Qualif. Champions Segunda ronda Final
Global 0-2
Neftçi vs CSKA Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
FKN
1 - 0
SIR
47%
22%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
SIR
2 - 1
FKN
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
SAF
0 - 1
FKN
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
FKN
7 - 0
SUM
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
MOI
0 - 1
FKN
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2004 |
CSK
1 - 0
FCR
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
TOR
0 - 1
CSK
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
CSK
3 - 0
PER
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
FCR
2 - 1
CSK
32%
26%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
CSK
3 - 3
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |