Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 4-2
Neftçi vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FKN
3 - 0
FKQ
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
QAR
1 - 0
FKN
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
FKN
2 - 2
IKS
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
IKS
4 - 0
FKN
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
ZES
2 - 2
FKN
62%
21%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
ELP
0 - 1
APO
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
APO
2 - 1
ELP
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
SEN
0 - 1
APO
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
APO
2 - 0
SEN
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ANO
1 - 2
APO
47%
28%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |