Murom vs Dnepr Smolensk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
TEK
0 - 0
MUR
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 0
SPA
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 0
CHE
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
KOL
0 - 2
MUR
15%
18%
68%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 1
TOR
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
DNE
1 - 2
PSK
38%
26%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CHE
3 - 1
DNE
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
DNE
1 - 3
TOR
24%
26%
50%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
LUK
1 - 2
DNE
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
DNE
3 - 1
ZNA
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |