Mozdok vs Aruan Nartkala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozdok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2000 |
KUB
2 - 0
FKM
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
FKM
0 - 1
SKA
18%
24%
58%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2000 |
TOT
1 - 4
FKM
19%
24%
57%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2000 |
FKM
0 - 2
SLS
55%
23%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2000 |
KAV
3 - 1
FKM
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aruan Nartkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2000 |
ARN
1 - 0
DIN
21%
25%
54%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
ARN
3 - 2
KUB
17%
22%
61%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2000 |
SKA
3 - 1
ARN
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2000 |
ARN
4 - 0
TOT
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2000 |
SLS
0 - 0
ARN
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |