Mladost DG vs Nikšić analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
5º
1º
0
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
77% | 10% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
23% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 59.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost DG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
IGA
0 - 0
FKM
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
FKM
3 - 2
BER
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FKM
0 - 3
BOK
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
JED
3 - 1
FKM
33%
23%
44%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 2
FKM
22%
25%
54%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Nikšić
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OFK
2 - 0
OUL
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
KOM
0 - 0
OFK
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
OFK
2 - 2
MLJ
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ZET
3 - 1
OFK
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OFK
2 - 1
GRB
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |