Mladost DG vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
5º
1º
39
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
77% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
23% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 76% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 24% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost DG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
FKM
2 - 1
IGA
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
BER
0 - 1
FKM
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BOK
0 - 0
FKM
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FKM
1 - 0
OUL
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
KOM
2 - 1
FKM
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
GRB
0 - 0
OUL
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
KOM
0 - 1
GRB
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
GRB
0 - 0
MLJ
21%
25%
54%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ZET
1 - 0
GRB
55%
24%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
GRB
0 - 0
BOK
26%
28%
45%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |