Mladost DG vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
5º
1º
38
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
77% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
23% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost DG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
KOM
3 - 2
FKM
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
FKM
0 - 1
MLJ
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ZET
0 - 2
FKM
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GRB
2 - 3
FKM
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
FKM
5 - 0
OFK
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BOK
4 - 0
OUL
72%
19%
9%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 3
KOM
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MLJ
5 - 0
OUL
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ZET
2 - 0
OUL
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
0 - 0
GRB
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |