FK Mārupe vs Valmiera II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
56.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
6º
26
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 57 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Mārupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 3
MAR
33%
22%
45%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
FSL
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
TUK
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
3 - 1
MAR
74%
16%
11%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
SMI
71%
16%
13%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PRA
0 - 0
VAL
27%
22%
51%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
RFA
73%
15%
12%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
KFV
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TUK
4 - 1
VAL
24%
22%
54%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |