FK Mārupe vs Riga FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
12º
7º
48
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Mārupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SUP
7 - 0
MAR
75%
14%
10%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 4
AUD
5%
11%
84%
|
36 | 76 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 2
OUD
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 1
MAR
36%
21%
43%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
SMI
37%
21%
42%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
SMI
73%
17%
11%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
1 - 5
ARI
36%
22%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 4
RIG
19%
23%
57%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
VAL
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 1
RIG
14%
22%
65%
|
70 | 31 | 39 | 0 |