FK Mārupe vs Riga FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
6º
34
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 57 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Mārupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SUP
7 - 0
MAR
75%
14%
10%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 4
AUD
5%
11%
84%
|
35 | 75 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 2
OUD
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 1
MAR
36%
21%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
SMI
37%
21%
42%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
SMI
73%
17%
11%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
1 - 5
ARI
36%
22%
42%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 4
RIG
19%
23%
57%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
VAL
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 1
RIG
14%
22%
65%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |