FK Mārupe vs AFA Olaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
55.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
12º
7º
30
9º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Mārupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
MAR
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
KFV
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TUK
0 - 1
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
RIG
15%
20%
65%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FSL
4 - 2
MAR
13%
16%
71%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | -3 |
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 1
SMI
68%
16%
16%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 2
PRA
41%
20%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 2
PRA
71%
17%
13%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 2
PRA
17%
18%
65%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
TUK
2 - 0
PRA
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |