FK Mārupe vs Ogre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+546%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
6º
19
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 57 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 31% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 31.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Mārupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 1
MAR
36%
21%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
SMI
37%
21%
42%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 1
MAR
54%
18%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 7
MAR
16%
17%
67%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
PRA
25%
20%
56%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 2
SMI
14%
16%
70%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PRA
3 - 3
OUD
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 7
MAR
16%
17%
67%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
OUD
4 - 0
VAL
11%
18%
71%
|
16 | 55 | 39 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 0
OUD
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |