FK Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Surkhon Termez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
13º
13º
25
5º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 51 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 39 |
4º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 27 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 25 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 24 |
13º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 18 |
14º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
36% | 95% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
40.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
BUN
3 - 2
FKL
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
FKL
0 - 2
OLM
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
NAV
4 - 0
FKL
40%
29%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FKL
0 - 1
QIZ
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FKO
2 - 2
FKL
5%
12%
82%
|
66 | 10 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
Surkhon Termez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
TER
0 - 1
NAS
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
TER
1 - 1
DSA
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BUN
0 - 2
TER
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TER
6 - 0
LOK
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FKC
1 - 2
TER
10%
17%
74%
|
59 | 7 | 52 | 0 |