FK Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
12º
12º
20
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 51 |
1º
|
93.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 45 |
2º
|
71.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 39 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 32 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 31 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 27 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 26 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 25 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 19 |
14º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
46% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAK
3 - 1
FKL
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FKL
1 - 1
FKO
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
FKL
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FKL
1 - 2
ALK
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 8 | 54 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 1
FKL
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
QIZ
0 - 1
NAS
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
QIZ
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
QIZ
0 - 3
AND
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
QIZ
1 - 0
BUN
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
QIZ
2 - 4
ORO
71%
17%
11%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |