FK Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Navbahor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
12º
12º
26
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 49 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 45 |
2º
|
62.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 39 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 36 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 33 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 31 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 26 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 25 |
12º
|
34% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 22 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 19 |
14º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
34% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
31% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AND
1 - 2
FKL
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FKL
4 - 2
QIZ
46%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAK
3 - 1
FKL
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FKL
1 - 1
FKO
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
FKL
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Navbahor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 1
NAS
42%
30%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 0
NAV
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
TER
0 - 1
NAV
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
NAV
2 - 2
BUN
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
OLM
2 - 1
NAV
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |