FK Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Dinamo Samarqand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
3º
1º
41
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
XOR
1 - 2
FKL
20%
25%
56%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
FKL
1 - 0
ORO
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 27 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 4
FKL
10%
20%
70%
|
67 | 19 | 48 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
UFA
1 - 1
FKL
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
FKL
2 - 1
FCS
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Samarqand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
PFK
0 - 3
DSA
6%
15%
79%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
DSA
1 - 0
URF
88%
10%
3%
|
58 | 16 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
MAS
1 - 3
DSA
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DSA
2 - 0
QOQ
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
TER
1 - 4
DSA
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |