KF Llapi vs FC Suhareka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+142%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
7º
4º
13
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
9 | 16 |
1º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 16 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 14 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 14 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
|
1º
|
13 | 14 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 13 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 9 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 9 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 5 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 1 |
10º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
5% | 11% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
46% | 36% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 53% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Llapi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
LLA
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 0
FCD
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PRI
3 - 2
LLA
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 1
UEM
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FER
0 - 2
LLA
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Suhareka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SUH
2 - 0
FER
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 61 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
SUH
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 60 | 43 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SUH
3 - 2
GJI
21%
27%
52%
|
16 | 72 | 56 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SUH
3 - 1
KFD
16%
23%
60%
|
15 | 71 | 56 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PRI
0 - 0
SUH
73%
18%
9%
|
14 | 72 | 58 | +1 |