FK Liepāja vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
7º
5º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BFC
2 - 1
LIE
15%
22%
63%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 0
FKT
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
AUD
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
FKJ
70%
20%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 1
LIE
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 4
RIG
6%
15%
79%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
SUP
84%
12%
4%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 2
VAL
7%
16%
78%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 1
SUP
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 1
FKJ
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |