FK Liepāja vs Grobiņa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
10º
7º
29
6º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 0
VAL
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 0
LIE
53%
24%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
VIK
2 - 0
LIE
47%
22%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 4
LIE
21%
22%
57%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 1
VIK
41%
24%
35%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 2
FSM
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 0
GRO
59%
22%
18%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 1
GRO
4%
8%
88%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 1
FKT
56%
21%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
GRO
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |