FK Liepāja vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
10º
7º
28
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
LIE
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
PRA
82%
14%
5%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 0
FKJ
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 1
GRO
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 0
VAL
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
3 - 2
VAL
21%
23%
57%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 5
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 4
RIG
21%
23%
56%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 0
FKT
42%
24%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 3
VAL
21%
20%
59%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |