FK Liepāja vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
10º
7º
21
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 67 |
3º
|
99.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 57 |
4º
|
99.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 44 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 37 |
6º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
9º
|
42% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 2
LIE
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
AUD
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 0
LIE
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 3
RIG
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 3
VAL
14%
22%
64%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
AUD
22%
28%
50%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
FKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
FKJ
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 1
FSM
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |