FK Liepāja vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
7º
5º
88
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
KZA
2 - 2
LIE
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIE
4 - 0
BAN
77%
15%
7%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 2
KOL
55%
23%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 2
DYN
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
RIG
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
JGV
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEV
45%
24%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
KOL
55%
23%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
SHI
2 - 1
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |