FK Liepāja vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
16.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
10º
7º
39
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 53 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
82.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 40 |
6º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 1
LIE
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 0
GRO
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 3
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 1
LIE
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 1
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 6
VAL
24%
25%
52%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 3
AUD
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 0
BFC
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 0
FSM
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |