FK Liepāja vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
7º
5º
36
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 2
LIE
19%
23%
58%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 1
LIE
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 1
LIE
16%
22%
62%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
FKJ
3 - 2
LIE
12%
22%
66%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
2 - 2
LIE
16%
20%
63%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 1
RIG
12%
20%
68%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
BFC
75%
18%
8%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
BFC
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 4
AUD
28%
25%
48%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 0
BFC
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |