FK Liepāja vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
7º
5º
36
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 3
LIE
17%
24%
60%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
AUD
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
3 - 2
JGV
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
RIG
2 - 0
LIE
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 3
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 5
RIG
13%
22%
65%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
CAR
11%
22%
67%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
VAL
8%
17%
75%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 2
BFC
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 0
SUP
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |