FK Liepāja vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
5.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
LIE
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
LIE
3 - 1
RIG
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
LIE
3 - 0
FSM
74%
18%
9%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
LIE
0 - 1
FKJ
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
VEN
2 - 0
LIE
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
BFC
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
VEN
3 - 0
BFC
75%
18%
8%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
RIG
0 - 0
BFC
80%
13%
8%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
BFC
0 - 2
FKS
19%
26%
55%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BFC
0 - 1
FSM
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |